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Die jüngste Rallye von Bitcoin hat das Interesse am Kryptomarkt insgesamt geweckt, und BTC hat mehrere namhafte Investoren angezogen. In diesem Zusammenhang gab Brad Garlinghouse, CEO von Ripple, kürzlich in einem Tweet zu, dass das Interesse institutioneller Anleger an Kryptowährungen gestiegen ist. In seinem Tweet sagte der CEO:

Nie ein langweiliger Moment in Krypto!

Das Interesse institutioneller Anleger steigt sprunghaft an… das Wachstum der Branche hängt vom tatsächlichen Nutzen ab.

Garlinghouse fügte hinzu, dass Bitcoin ein echter Wertspeicher und „nützlich“ als Absicherung gegen Inflation sei:

Als Wertspeicher ist BTC eine äußerst nützliche Absicherung gegen Inflation

In Bezug auf XRP lobte Garlinghouse die Kryptowährung und sagte, dass die Geschwindigkeit, die Kosten und die Skalierbarkeit von XRP es für Zahlungen „äußerst nützlich“ machten. Der CEO von Ripple forderte die Aufsichtsbehörden außerdem auf, das Potenzial dieser Technologien zu erkennen und gleiche Wettbewerbsbedingungen für die Teilnehmer der Branche zu schaffen.

Inzwischen ist Brad Garlinghouse Berücksichtigung in anderen Ländern der USA bewegen heraus, wie Großbritannien, da er glaubte , dass ein klarer Rechtsrahmen für Ripple der XRP arbeiten kann. Garlinghouse hatte zuvor gesagt, es sei „bedauerlich“, dass die US-Aufsichtsbehörden keinen klaren Ansatz für Kryptowährungen hatten, und erneut das Fehlen eines einzigen nationalen Regulierungsrahmens betont, der US-Unternehmen wie Ripple selbst benachteiligte.

Alibaba-grunnlegger Jack Ma støttet nylig den digitale valutasektoren og sa at de er fremtiden. Han bemerket også at digitale valutaer kan skape verdi.

Milliardær tror på et nytt globalt finanssystem

Milliardærgründeren til Alibaba, Ma, tror at digitale valutaer kan føre til opprettelsen av et nytt globalt finanssystem. Han målrettet også de globale bankbestemmelsene på plass, men avklarte ikke hva han mente med digitale valutaer.

Ma snakket på Bund Summit i Shanghai hvor han snakket om digitale valutaer. Han sa: „Digital valuta kan skape verdi, og vi bør tenke på hvordan vi kan etablere en ny type finanssystem gjennom digital valuta.“ Ma var også kritisk til de eksisterende globale banksystemene.

Kryptosamfunnet reagerte raskt på kommentarene hans, og Twitter var i flamme med spekulasjoner. Binance-sjef Changpeng Zhao satte pris på Ma og kalte det en “fantastisk” tale der han snakket om digitale mynter. Imidlertid spurte Vitalik Buterin, medstifter av Ethereum, betydningen av digitale valutaer. Zhao sa at betydningen av begrepet kan tolkes.

Status for digitale mynter i Kina

Den kinesiske regjeringen har utestengt digitale valutaer, selv om Bitcoin Trader er andre eiendeler som handles i regionen. Kinesiske Bitcoin-gruvearbeidere kontrollerer også en stor del av Bitcoins hashrate. Ma kan antyde en sentralbank digital valuta (CBDC), som en digital yuan. Regjeringer og sentralbanker over hele verden jobber med å utvikle en egen digital sentralbankstøttet valuta. Imidlertid vinner digital yuan løpet.

Ma bemerket at Basel følgelig også var utdatert. Han bemerket at de verdensomspennende reglene for bankvirksomhet kveler utviklingen i Kina. De tenker ikke på unge mennesker eller muligheter for utviklingsland.

Alibaba har et tilknyttet selskap kalt Ant Financial som snart skal lansere en børsnotering. Selskapet er verdsatt til 30 milliarder dollar blir ansett som verdens største børsnotering.

Il voto retroattivo di Airdrop di Uniswap mette soldi gratis sul percorso della campagna

La governance, si dice spesso, è una delle questioni più importanti nell’industria dei crittografi. Ma se la democrazia renda migliori i prodotti della catena dei blocchi o semplicemente si trasformi in lotte per la ricchezza rimane una questione aperta.

Un test case rilevante si è appena chiuso su Uniswap, però, offrendo un assaggio di ciò che può essere più simile a una Bitcoin Up stagione elettorale in difficoltà rispetto alla politica del consiglio di amministrazione (solo con molta più discordia). Le specifiche sono secondarie, ma eccole qui: La proposta di distribuire 11,6 milioni di dollari di UNI a 12.619 portafogli non è passata perché un numero insufficiente di possessori di UNI ha partecipato.

E siccome la governance è raramente scompattata a lungo, ecco un dettagliato colpo di scena di una delle decisioni di governance più seguite nella storia della finanza decentralizzata (DeFi).

È stato un episodio che ha trasformato la piacevole sorpresa di settembre dell’Uniswap in un’acrimonia lieve.

Il dono dell’UNI

La storia inizia il 16 settembre, quando l’Uniswap, lo scambio decentralizzato preferito dall’Ethereum (ETH, -0,23%), ha iniziato il processo di decentramento.
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Per fare ciò, l’azienda che sta dietro al sito di token-swap ha deciso di inviare 150 milioni di gettoni di governance UNI ad un gruppo di cittadini dell’Ethereum che hanno toccato Uniswap in un modo o nell’altro nel corso degli anni. In futuro, i gettoni sarebbero stati il mezzo con cui una nuova classe di sovrani avrebbe potuto determinare il destino di Uniswap.

La parte più notevole di questo lancio è stata la sua magnanimità: Ogni portafoglio che avesse tentato di usare Uniswap fin dalla sua nascita poteva rivendicare 400 UNI, che all’epoca valevano ben più di 1.000 dollari.

Ma non tutti sono mai contenti. Poco dopo la distribuzione dei gettoni UNI, Dharma – la startup di credito DeFi che è diventata una startup di risparmio che è diventata una startup di trading – ha sollevato un’obiezione a nome dei suoi utenti. Molti clienti di Dharma si erano persi l’airdrop UNI perché il loro uso di Uniswap era stato mascherato dal contratto di delega intelligente di Dharma.

Il 17 settembre, l’amministratore delegato di Dharma, Nadav Hollander, ha annunciato la sua intenzione di chiedere ai possessori di UNI di effettuare retroattivamente l’airdrop di 400 UNI (5.047.600 gettoni in totale) sui 12.619 conti che avevano usato Uniswap tramite una terza parte dapp. MyEtherWallet, Argent e Dharma sono in cima a una lista di nove dapp che avevano messo in pratica la compostabilità DeFi e costruito sopra Uniswap.

La proposta è stata messa ai voti il 24 settembre. Si è chiusa il 31 ottobre e non è andata a buon fine, anche se i „sì“ hanno avuto un ampio vantaggio. Il conteggio finale è stato di 37,5 milioni di UNI (del valore di poco più di 86 milioni di dollari) a favore della proposta e 1,3 milioni di UNI contro.

Tuttavia, secondo le regole attuali, vincere un voto non è sufficiente. Una proposta ha anche bisogno di almeno 40 milioni di UNI che votino a favore per legittimare il voto.

Perché questo, come la maggior parte dei voti sulle catene a blocco, era un voto di gettoni e non di individui. Felix Machart, un ricercatore del fondo di venture fund Greenfield One, che ha scritto uno studio sulla governance delle blockchain, lo ha commentato a CoinDesk, dicendo: „Puoi comprarti il potere di voto, quindi è più simile alla democrazia degli azionisti“.

Forse è così, ma il caso dell’offerta di Dharma per i lanci retroattivi può indicare un futuro in cui il processo decisionale a catena assomiglia più al processo decisionale del Congresso che alla governance aziendale.

Bitcoin is showing signs of profit, resulting in a slight drop in altcoin prices.

PayPal’s crypto announcement acted as a trigger that took the price of Bitcoin (BTC) to a new record of 52 weeks. During these news based events, traders holding short positions are caught off guard and are forced to cover their trades, resulting in the kind of squeeze seen during the October 21st high.

However, after this initial rally, the next leg of the bullish trend is only possible if demand increases and bulls continue buying at higher levels.

Data from the Huobi exchange suggest that professional traders are not convinced that the current bullish trend justifies the opening of long positions and Cointelegraph contributor Marcel Pechman explained that this could be a sign of weakness.

On the other hand, the number of open contracts on CME Bitcoin futures shows a different picture. WEC has now become the second largest Bitcoin futures exchange in terms of open contracts, losing only to OKEx. This suggests that institutional demand may be increasing.

This opposite set of Bitcoin futures exchange data only increases the confusion among traders about the next possible move.

Let’s go deeper into traders‘ psychology for a better understanding. Institutional investors rarely buy for fear of losing the bullish pack.

These big traders can wait for the bullishness to sustain and complete a new successful test of the breakout level before buying.

Let’s take a look at the top 10 cryptomaps to determine what the technical indicators project.

BTC/USD

The Bitcoin (BTC) managed a leak and closed above the US$12,460 resistance on October 21. This move helped cryptomoeda reach a new high of 52 weeks, which is a sign of strength.

The exponential 20-day moving average (US$11,679) is rising and the simple 50-day moving average (US$10,943) has also begun to rise. This shows that both the short and medium term trend favour bulls.

However, the rise above US$13,000 pushed the relative strength index to close to 81, a level that attracted profit reserves the last two times it was hit.

The BTC/USD pair faces sales above US$ 13,000, but the bulls do not seem to be in a hurry to close their positions. If the pair does not fall below $12,460 in the next few days, it will increase the possibility of a bullish run to $14,000.

On the contrary, if bears can pull the price below the $12,460-12,050 support zone, this will suggest a lack of demand at higher levels. This move will suggest that the current leak was a bear trap.

ETH/USD

Ether (ETH) had a leak and closed above US$395 on October 22. This move completed the upward triangle pattern, which targets US$478.

The 20-day MME on the rise (US$377) and the RSI on positive territory suggest that the bulls are in the lead.

However, bears are currently trying to pull the price back below the $395 escape level. If they are successful, this will signal that the current escape was false. The next support on the downside is the bullish trend line.

On the other hand, if the ETH/USD pair recovers from $395, this will suggest that the breakout is valid. The uptrend may gain momentum after the bulls push the price above $421.

XRP/USD

The XRP tried to rise above the US$0.2295-0.26 range on Oct. 21, but the bulls failed to close the price above US$0.26. This suggests a shortage of buyers at higher levels.

The failure of the XRP/USD pair to move out of the range could have attracted profit reserves. If the price falls below moving averages, this will suggest that the range-limited stock will likely extend for a few more days.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price hits the 20-day MME ($0.24), the bulls will again try to drive the pair above the $0.26–0.265763 resistance zone.

A break and close (UTC time) above the resistance zone will complete an inverted head and shoulders pattern that may signal the beginning of a new uptrend with a target of US$0.30.

BCH/USD

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is facing the sale close to overall resistance of US$ 280. This shows that the bears are trying to keep the price below this level. If they succeed, a fall to the 20-day MME ($247) is possible.

However, the MME’s upward slope of 20 days and the RSI near the oversold zone suggest that the path of least resistance is up.

If bulls can push the price above US$280, a move to US$300 is possible. This level may act as resistance, but if bulls can push the price above it, the BCH/USD pair may resume the uptrend and reach $326.30-US$337.90.

This optimistic view will be invalidated if the pair falls from current levels and breaks below the critical support of $242.

BNB/USD

The Binance Coin (BNB) had a leak above the downward trend line on 22 October. This suggests that the correction may be over. Rising moving averages and RSI above 56 suggest the bulls are in the lead.

If bulls can push the price above $31.9798, a further test of the 52-week high at $33.3888 is possible. A breakout and closure above this level may resume the uptrend that could challenge the all-time high at $39,5941.

This optimistic view will be invalidated if the price continues to fall from current levels and drops below US$28.50. Such a move could initiate a deeper correction to $22.

LINK/USD

The Chainlink (LINK) completed a rising triangle pattern when it broke and closed above US$11,8028 on October 22. The goal of this upward configuration is $15.

The MME’s 20-day gradual slope ($10.71) and RSI above 57 suggest that the bulls are in the lead.

However, bears are not willing to allow bulls to do what they want. They are currently trying to drag the price back below the $11,199-11,8028 support zone. If they can do that, it will suggest that the current escape was a bull trap.

On the other hand, if the bears can’t sustain the price below the support zone, it will indicate that the bulls are piling up in casualties. This could increase the possibility of a high to $13.28 or more.

DOT/USD

The Polkadot (DOT) closed above the 20-day MME (US$4.17) on October 22. The bulls will now try to push the price above the overload resistance by US$4.6112. A close above this resistance could push the price to $5.5899.

The 20-day MME has stabilised and the RSI has risen above 50 levels for the first time in over a month. This suggests that selling pressure has reduced and the bulls are trying to make a comeback.

However, if the price drops below the 20-day MME again, the DOT/USD pair may extend its stay within the range for a few more days. The pair may go negative if the bears sink the pair below the critical support of $3.5321.

LTC/USD

Litecoin (LTC) completed an inverse head and shoulders pattern when it burst and closed above the US$51-52.36 resistance zone. The standard target of this high reversal configuration is $61.

The rising 20-day MME (US$49) and RSI near the overbought zone suggest that the bulls are in control.

However, after the initial increase, the price can test the escape zone again at US$51- 52.36. If the bulls buy the dive for this zone and the price rebounds sharply, this will suggest that the zone may act as a floor in the future.

This optimistic view will be invalidated if the bears drag and keep the LTC/USD pair below $51. This move will suggest that the current escape was a bull trap.

ADA/USD

The Cardano (ADA) has been trading within a growing wedge pattern in recent days. The bulls failed to push the price above the immediate resistance at US$ 0.1142241, which shows a lack of demand at higher levels.

The rising wedge is generally considered to be a low setting. The pattern will be completed when the price drops and closes below the wedge support line. Such a move could drag the price to $0.090 and then to $0.0755701.

However, the 20-day MME rising ($0.10) and the RSI in the positive zone suggest a small advantage for the bulls. If buyers can push the price above the wedge, the ADA/USD pair may initiate a bullish move that could reach $0.01445.

BSV/USD

The Bitcoin SV (BSV) has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, showing indecision between bulls and bears. Although the bulls pushed the price above the triangle on October 22nd, they could not sustain the higher levels.

The price has dropped from the bearish trend line and the bears will now try to sink the BSV/USD pair to the triangle’s bullish trend line. If this support breaks, a drop to $146.20 is possible.

On the other hand, if the pair recovers from the uptrend line, the bulls will again try to push the price above the triangle. If they succeed, a rise to $180.63 and then $227 may be expected.

The current price for one Bitcoin (BTC) is currently $11,742.28. That’s 2.19% more than 24 hours ago. If you want to buy bitcoin for $100 now, you will get about 0.0085 BTC for this.

The total market cap is $217,492,565,059.00 with a circulation of 18,522,175 BTC.

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Bitcoin (BTC) minus again a bit more difficult: +3.6%

The so-called difficulty level for the minus of Bitcoin (BTC) has risen again. By 3.6% to be exact.

Miners send computing power to the Bitcoin network to find the next block. This leads to a continuous growth of this hashrate. As a result, the level of difficulty also increases.

The difficulty level adjusts every ~2 weeks based on the previous 2016 blocks. Last Saturday afternoon the difficulty rate was adjusted again.

This mechanism ensures that a new block is found every ~10 minutes. As soon as more computing power goes to the network, the difficulty increases.

Once the hashrate, the difficulty rate calibrates to a lower number. Glassnode’s graph below shows an increase of the yellow line.

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Binance traded $306 billion in quarter three, a record

Binance has done good business in quarter three of 2020. The Bitcoin and Crypto Exchange traded for $306 billion in the months of July, August and September.

According to an analysis by The Block Crypto, the exchange has grown considerably. It means that the exchange from Malta is processing market share in the highly competitive spot market.

Compared to quarter two, there is a growth of 110%. In absolute terms, from $ 146.3 billion to $ 306.6 billion. Earlier research already showed that Binance is currently market leader.

In August, CEO Changpeng Zhao sighed that it was „busier than during the 2017 hype“.
IMF calls for new ‚Bretton Woods‘, will it be Bitcoin versus fiat?

Governments need to work more together to save the world economy from the current corona crisis. This is what the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is arguing for.

They even make an explicit reference to the Bretton Woods agreement of 1944, the start of the dollar as a world reserve currency.

Is history going to repeat itself? And what role can Bitcoin play?

Governments need to work more together to save the world economy from the current corona crisis. This is what the International Monetary Fund (IMF) argues for.

They even make an explicit reference to the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944, the start of the dollar as a world reserve currency.

Is history going to repeat itself? And what role can Bitcoin play?

150.000 BTC do agora extinto Bitcoin Exchange Mt. Gox provavelmente não chegará aos mercados tão cedo.

Há uma especulação crescente de que 150.000 Bitcoin (BTC) do administrador do Mt. Gox poderiam se mudar em 15 de outubro. Mas muitos fatores sugerem que isso é altamente improvável, dados os registros passados.

Entre 2011 e 2013, o Mt. Gox perdeu 850.000 BTC no maior ataque de hacking da história do Bitcoin. O fiduciário tem alegadamente 150.000 BTC para pagar os usuários que perderam seus fundos devido à quebra.

No entanto, há muitos obstáculos a serem enfrentados antes que os reembolsos possam ser emitidos. O processo de reembolso tem sido continuamente atrasado desde 2019, e os reembolsos provavelmente não acontecerão tão cedo.

Por que há uma súbita especulação sobre os 150.000 Mt. Gox BTC em movimento?

Em 30 de junho, o administrador do Mt. Gox divulgou uma declaração no site oficial do Mtgox.com. O curador, encarregado de redistribuir os fundos aos antigos usuários, disse que o Tribunal Distrital de Tóquio concedeu uma prorrogação do prazo até 15 de outubro. O documento foi lido:

„Em face do exposto, o curador de Reabilitação apresentou uma moção para solicitar uma prorrogação do prazo de apresentação do plano de reabilitação no Tribunal Distrital de Tóquio e, em 30 de junho de 2020, o Tribunal Distrital de Tóquio emitiu uma ordem para prorrogar o prazo de apresentação do plano de reabilitação até 15 de outubro de 2020“.

Com base neste documento, alguns investidores sugeriram que isso poderia causar a movimentação de 150.000 BTC, potencialmente agitando o mercado.

Mas há duas razões fundamentais para que o curador não movesse a Bitcoin a curto prazo.

Primeiro, a prorrogação diz respeito à apresentação do plano de reabilitação, não ao reembolso do Crypto Genius. Simplificando, o prazo de 15 de outubro é para o fiduciário apresentar um plano, não para reembolsar investidores.

Em segundo lugar, o agente fiduciário tem continuamente solicitado prorrogações ao longo do ano passado. Uma declaração idêntica foi apresentada em março de 2020 e em abril de 2019, e foram concedidas prorrogações de prazo.

O dia 15 de outubro não é o prazo real para reembolsos de usuários e o fiduciário atrasou o processo várias vezes no passado. Com base nestes dois fatores, é seguro presumir que os 150.000 BTC do fiduciário do Mt. Gox não atingirão os mercados a curto prazo.

O Bitcoin permanece resistente apesar dos eventos negativos

Na semana passada, a Bitcoin enfrentou inúmeros eventos negativos que exerceram uma pressão de venda significativa sobre a BTC.

Em 1º de outubro, a acusação do CFTC dos Estados Unidos contra a BitMEX imediatamente fez com que a Bitcoin recuasse mais de 5%, enquanto 24 horas depois, o presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, contratou a COVID-19, fazendo com que a maioria das classes de ativos, incluindo a BTC, corrigisse.

Apesar dos eventos pessimistas consecutivos, a Bitcoin demonstrou uma resistência surpreendente durante todo o mês de outubro. O BTC ainda permanece acima de US$ 10.500, um nível de preços que atuou como uma área crítica de apoio desde agosto.

A médio e longo prazo, o analista da cadeia Willy Woo disse que as perspectivas de mercado da Bitcoin continuam positivas. Ele disse:

Bekijk de Bad Crypto-podcast van deze week.

Terwijl Bitcoin onder het plafond van $ 12.000 blijft, kunt u kiezen uit toekomstige prijsvoorspellingen. De Winklevoss Brothers zeggen dat de munt $ 500.000 en misschien zelfs $ 600.000 zal bereiken als regeringen het in hun valutareserves gaan opnemen. De tweeling had geen datum voor die voorspelling, maar Ecoinometrics, een data-analysebedrijf, denkt dat het post-halveringspatroon wijst op een prijs van $ 41.000 voor het einde van het jaar. Bitcoin Code zal dan half april zes cijfers halen , zeggen ze. Of neem het advies van Max Keizer.

De RT-gastheer ziet de recente investeringen van Warren Buffett in Japan als een teken dat de wijze van Omaha geen dollars meer heeft. Bitcoin, zegt hij, zal binnenkort recordhoogtes zien

Buffett heeft Bitcoin zelf „rattengif in het kwadraat“ genoemd, maar hij is niet de enige die sceptisch staat tegenover digitale valuta. Gebruikers op Reddit hebben een thread ontdekt met de reactie op de eerste berichten van Satoshi . Het lijkt erop dat niemand het leuk vond … behalve Hal Finney.

Roger Ver denkt nu hetzelfde over Bitcoin ABC . De nieuwe Bitcoin Cash-vork wil een „coinbase-regel“ implementeren die 8 procent van de nieuwe Bitcoin Cash naar een ontwikkelingsfonds zou verplaatsen. De vraag is wie de naam Bitcoin Cash mag behouden. Ver wil zeker weten dat het geen ABC is.

In vriendelijker nieuws, de Indiase uitwisseling CoinDCX zal een online training en blockchain-certificeringcursus houden . Het bedrijf hoopt 50 miljoen gebruikers in India te bereiken. Portbase, een leverancier van logistieke oplossingen, heeft de eerste fase van de integratie met het blockchain-platform Tradelens voltooid. De bedrijven gaan de bedrijfsvoering en processen voor havens in Amsterdam en Rotterdam beheren. En Spartan Black, een Aziatisch cryptocurrency-fonds, ziet goede dingen in petto voor Polkadot . De prijs van de DOT van het nieuwe protocol is binnen acht dagen na lancering met 200 procent gestegen en analisten denken dat het nog een weg te gaan heeft. Het protocol schaalt snel, kost minder dan Ethereum en is gemaakt door Gavin Wood, die verantwoordelijk was voor een groot deel van de ontwikkeling van Ethereum.

Polkadot is niet het enige blockchain-protocol dat in de toekomst nuttig kan zijn

FinID is een Braziliaans project ontwikkeld door CPqD, een telecommunicatieonderzoeks- en ontwikkelingscentrum. Het project heeft tot doel de blockchain te gebruiken om soevereine, gedecentraliseerde digitale ID’s te creëren.

Tommy Leas, ook bekend als DJ PLS & TY, heeft Foundation, het op Ethereum gebaseerde kunst- en cultuurplatform, gebruikt om zijn vinyl „Very Special“ EP te lanceren . Het platform verkoopt tokens die kopers kunnen inwisselen voor een fysiek goed, waardoor de prijs stijgt in overeenstemming met de vraag. Leas begon zijn record in beperkte oplage op $ 50. Twaalf verkopen later wordt het verkocht voor $ 68,27.

Als die prijs als een koopje klinkt, hoor je wat een Tesla-medewerker onlangs hoorde. De werknemer werd benaderd door iemand die hen $ 1 miljoen aan Bitcoin aanbood in ruil voor het plaatsen van malware op de computers van Tesla. De hacker was van plan $ 4 miljoen te eisen om de gestolen gegevens van het bedrijf niet online te publiceren. Maar de werknemer vertelde de FBI en werkte samen met de politie om de hacker in de val te lokken. Een Russische staatsburger, Egor Igorevich Kriuchkov, is aangeklaagd.

Ondanks het feit dat er zulke eerlijke werknemers zijn, is de aandelenkoers van Tesla niet geweldig geweest . Het aandeel daalde in een dag met 4,7 procent, na het besluit van het bedrijf om aandelen te verkopen om kapitaal aan te trekken. Zoom zoomde echter 41 procent in een dag omhoog. Dat zorgt dit jaar voor een stijging van 571 procent.

En tot slot zullen de Troetelbeertjes zich bij Cryptokitties en Atari voegen in de blockchain-gebaseerde gamingwereld The Sandbox. Het speelgoed uit de jaren tachtig zal NFT’s uitbrengen die spelers kunnen gebruiken in de Care-a-Lot-omgeving. Wie had dat kunnen voorspellen?